Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005528 0.006299 0.007186 0.008296 0.009662 0.011311 0.013487
2026-01-25 0.004394 0.005313 0.006468 0.008064 0.010274 0.013329 0.018076
2026-02-01 0.003681 0.004615 0.005855 0.007683 0.010427 0.014614 0.022019
2026-02-08 0.003190 0.004104 0.005366 0.007320 0.010442 0.015609 0.025832
2026-02-15 0.002949 0.003890 0.005241 0.007438 0.011185 0.017956 0.033226
2026-02-22 0.002689 0.003612 0.004976 0.007279 0.011411 0.019433 0.039693
2026-03-01 0.002457 0.003349 0.004698 0.007045 0.011440 0.020518 0.045959
2026-03-08 0.002275 0.003142 0.004481 0.006876 0.011548 0.021799 0.053783
2026-03-15 0.002191 0.003077 0.004480 0.007082 0.012435 0.025186 0.071705
2026-03-22 0.002132 0.003043 0.004525 0.007378 0.013580 0.029754 0.100981
2026-03-29 0.002088 0.003029 0.004600 0.007738 0.014968 0.035786 0.151097
2026-04-05 0.001980 0.002899 0.004459 0.007645 0.015256 0.038623 0.191213
2026-04-12 0.001883 0.002789 0.004355 0.007645 0.015867 0.043307 0.270550
2026-04-19 0.001767 0.002639 0.004168 0.007446 0.015921 0.046112 0.354114
2026-04-26 0.001646 0.002471 0.003932 0.007106 0.015502 0.046802 0.421122
2026-05-03 0.001538 0.002319 0.003714 0.006780 0.015058 0.047196 0.495873
2026-05-10 0.001490 0.002270 0.003687 0.006886 0.015923 0.054521 0.872761
2026-05-17 0.001418 0.002175 0.003562 0.006743 0.015987 0.057955 1.284751
2026-05-24 0.001345 0.002072 0.003415 0.006533 0.015786 0.059845 1.783309
2026-05-31 0.001284 0.001988 0.003298 0.006381 0.015750 0.062841 2.783728
2026-06-07 0.001261 0.001971 0.003317 0.006567 0.016937 0.075537 11.427236
2026-06-14 0.001246 0.001969 0.003364 0.006832 0.018530 0.094719 1143.838527
2026-06-21 0.001237 0.001975 0.003428 0.007155 0.020509 0.123372 NaN